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20121027
20121104
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Search Results 0 to 49 of about 66 (some duplicates have been removed)
at the internals of the washington post poll, i doubt that obama will carry virginia. don't know if it's the economy or the benghazi. where we had this strange story over the weekend that the secretary of defense apparently refuse to obey the president's order, if the president is telling the truth and he instructed his assistants to get aid to benghazi, we're now being told that the secretary of defense canceled that. i think these type of things drag down the president. you notice that he's cancelling his trips over the hurricane. he didn't cancel his trips over benghazi and you have to wonder, between benghazi, the price of gasoline and unemployment, just how much the burden the president is going to carry into this last week. >> he does have a burden. as you point, with a lot of those stories coming out. at the same time, he's built up a lead in some of these battleground states. according to a wealth polls that we have seen across the country. it raised the prospect of governor romney winning the popular vote. losing the electoral college. republicans won't exceaccept th is he rig
? >> the national tracking polls as them close, but if you go to the key battleground states, obama still holds a lead in those states and that will put him over the top. >> what is the ground game, mark? >> the organized effort over months to identified not only supporters not onlyleaners -- only supporters, but leaners. by election day, you know who your voters are and you want to be sure they go to a. > -- to vote. >> in many the battleground states, obama has more field offices. >> it comes down to micro- managing and micro-issuing these folks. the republicans have a better ground game in 2004, and a lot of people think it that is why they won that close election, and it fell into disrepair today are building it back up now, but i don't think they are near where obama is yet. >> which candidate has the most enthusiastic, the most in gauge, the most dedicated supporters, colby? >> that is a hard one to answer. i think that clearly after the first debate, the republican party had enthusiastic supporters there. romney did it do well compared to obama. there was disappointment with president o
would win, based on the superior effort of the obama campaign at this point turning out early voters. >> evan? >> butobama the whistle of a long way to go. >> nin >> i hate e doing this but obama because of the ground game. >> colby? >> the national tracking polls has been very close. in the batattle e ground statates, obama still holds a lead and that will put him over the top. >> what is the ground again, mark? >> the organized effort by the campaign over months to identify and not only supppporters but people w who are undecide it, and persuade them on a one by one retail basis. weeks before election day, at you know who your voterers are and you get them to vote. >> in many of the battle ground states, obama has more field offices. >> it is down to micro-managingng and micro-issug these folks. republicans had a better ground game in 2004, and a lot of people think that is why they won that close electio and it fell into disrepairhey are building it back up now, bbut i don't think they are anywhere near where obama is yet. >> which candidate as the mt enthusiastic and engaged, mos
at the polls, president obama has been trending ahead by a few points when you look at a number of polls. that's not a comfortable lead for the obama campaign. but it is a significant one. it is a consistent one. and they're trying to maintain that as they move towards election day. and they try to keep wisconsin as well as the other midwestern firewall states, ohio and iowa, in their column, fred. >> and all this while the president says the recovery from the storm is still first priority. how is he trying to stay ahead of that, at the same time campaign to keep his job? >> that's right. it's a tricky line to walk because here he is three days out from election day. he has to be campaigning obviously, and that's the sense the obama campaign has, but he has to be careful, especially as some more bad weather heads to that very vulnerable region. the difference today not only is president obama staying in close contact with his advisers, with cabinet secretaries and with local officials in these storm effected areas, but he actually has members of his cabinet blanketing the effected regions, his
. >> colby? >> national tracking polls has of them close, but the key battleground states, obama still holds a lead. >> what is the ground game, mark? >> the organized effort over months to identify and not only support -- identified not only supporters, but leaners, and persuade them on how one by one retail basis. weeks before election day, you know who your voters are. you want to be sure you get the vote. >> in many of the battle ground states, obama has more field offices. >> it is down to micromanaging, micro-issuing these of votes. interestingly, the republicans had a better ground game in 2004, and a lot of people think that is why and they won that close election. it sort of fell into disrepair today are building it back up now, but i don't think they are anywhere near where obama is yet. >> there is another question. which candidate has the most d.c. asked to come most engaged, most dedicated supporters? >> that is a hard one to answer. clearly after the first debate, the republican party at everly and these as to support tir. romney did do well compared to obama. there was disappo
at the poll that came out, president obama has a lead in the five-county areas. he has maintained that leads throughout in all of the various polls. i think the extreme positions of mitt romney, a woman's right to choose, number one, really puts him at odds with the moderates and stability in pennsylvania, and i am confident that the numbers the president will show in the suburbs will propel him to victory in pennsylvania. host: as you know, pennsylvania was referred to as philadelphia and alabama in the middle. there was this that said to make it close, mitt romney has to win big. what does he mean by that? guest: he has to win big in the central part of the state. we call it the t. there are two republican counties. it spreads across. he is going to do really well there. mitt romney is doing terrific in the t. i cannot believe our results down there. if you remember, in the primary, hillary clinton beat president obama. those people are very upset about the war on coal and the president dissing the coal business. i do not agree with josh. we are doing very well in the philadelphia suburbs.
last poll, just after the first debate -- is edging up, but obama has a steady lead. it is a democratic-leaning state these days. there has not been an awful lot of campaign activity in terms of action by the candidates. more important advertising -- they have not really targeted the state this year, unlike 2008 and the previous four cycles. host: there is an awful lot of advertising in the separate -- senate race, particularly by tom smith, the republican nominee. your polling shows that race is closer -- senator casey is still holding a lead of seven points over tom smith. what is happening in that race? caller: it is a simple matter of if you spend $17 million of your own money you can get hearing from people. senator caseous a member -- casey is a member of an institution that is not very popular these days, the congress. smith has gained traction just on the strength of his message. introducing himself to voters. that could be one of the surprises on election night. host: let's take this question today is -- two ways -- what can republicans read into the polling numbers? caller: on
poll showed obama leading romney by three points here, i interviewed govern nor both of them were dismissing public polling saying our models show that the turnout is going to favor republicans. republicans are more enthusiastic. but i went out this morning with some afl-cio organizers. people are talking about turnout. the obama campaign says they've contacted over 120 million vote ners all these battleground states. they have a larger and more sophisticated ground operation. so that's what going on in the end. it's going to come down to turnout. this is a base election. and that's what both campaigns are doing right now is getting their people to vote early, either the obama campaign is doing their famous souls to the polls push tomorrow morning after churches. that's what we're looking at now. >> peter doing some good reporting for us in clumus ohio. still to come, more on the race for the white house. we've got a lot more on the race for the white house. >>> we're also following the aftermath of the superstorm sandy, four days in a shelter with no shower. we're going to take y
, this evening, shows president obama with a 2 percentage point lead in florida. 48% to 46%. the sunshine state's 29 electoral votes key to mitt romney's hopes. in ohio, that same poll shows president obama also up only 2 but two percentage points. 47% to 45%. in wisconsin where the president started his post-hurricane campaign today an abc news "wall street journal" maris poll has him up 49 to 46%. but governor romney is leading in colorado which is another state president obama visited today. the lead there is just one point, 47% to 46%. that's according to reuters ipso. back with us our three political junkies extraordinaire. pollster david herman, joe garifoli. from all of the polls, there were 29 polls that came out. you are the pollster. this momentum, is it baked in? >> the advantage obama has is baked in inn a lot of the states. i would be shocked to see romney take ohio. and if he can't take ohio, it is really hard to see what his path is. >> jennifer: virginia? >> i think obama takes virginia as well an
. we show romney up by two. we have shown obama up in five polls, very close. >> sean: you are the only ones that have him up? >> most of the polls show it close. i think this is going to be a state that is going to be all about the turnout on election day. >> gregg:. >> sean: according to early voting, obama is not doing that well and romney is doing better. you wrote a column and wisconsin may be the new ohio. no republican has gotten to the white house except through ohio. if romney was to lose ohio but if he wins the other three states fh he wins. >> it is possible. that makes wisconsin a divisive state. if we go to to the early states, romney wins florida and virginia president obama wins ohio, then can romney wins a state that obama won by 14 points. >> paul ryan is very popular in wisconsin. >> there three things. state changed between 2008 and 2010 that helped walker. then a huge battle over walker's plan. the recall effort forced republicans to build a great organization that has been turned over to the presidential campaign. polls are very close. paul ryan is added to the part
. that is grouch by seven or eight points, president obama won -- there is a 16-point swing in many of these polls. is that the difference? >> it is the difference. if you go to some of the battleground states, independents by definition are going to pick the winner of that state. that is huge. i think the other thing that not talked about enough, generation gap. a whole lot of attention about the young voters. that are going to vote for president obama but don't know how many will show up. seniors are leaning toward governor romney and enthusiasm is way up compared to 2008. >> sean: if you look at the independents and add the intensity and you add new republican voters you have a formula for success, at least for governor romney. now, we have to go state by state. this is an electoral college vote. do you see a scenario in which romney would win a popular voted and lose the electoral college? >> it is possible. i think for that to happen, romney would have to win the popular vote by less than one point. it could extend a little more than that. >> sean: let's go to florida. interesting poll i foun
. "washington post" poll, president obama leads about 51% to governor romney's 47%. back in september, the president had a stronger lead, 52% to 44% in virginia. why do you think the governor has been able to close the gap in the commonwealth? >> i think just like you see nationally and a lot of other swing states, after a first debate performance in early october for governor romney. he managed to show people kind of a different face than they had seen in a lot of negative advertisements or depicted by president obama and a lot of his allies. you've seen him gain nationally in a lot of swing states just like in virginia. the question is, have enough momentum now to put him over the top and that's kind of the question that everyone is asking themselves nine days out from the election now. >> in virginia, like other states, it can be separated in several states within a state. you've got southwest virginia, you've got hampton roads area and norfolk and the richmond area. you've got the d.c. suburbs, arlington and fairfax and alexandria. let's talk about the democratic shift there, nort
that bill clinton carried in '96 and that president obama carried. >> if that poll is accurate, romney will win florida for sure, if he's going to carry i-4 by that big a margin. most indications are that he's going to win the state. however, you have to point out, the obama campaign says they're competing in all the battleground states, and they are. the president's one event today is in florida with bill clinton, 10:00 this morning. >> going to be right in the middle of the i-4 corridor. >> right in the middle. they're competing there. they're not giving up. they're using their most precious asset today, one obama visit with bill clinton to go to florida. so they're not giving up, but there's no question romney has an edge there right now. >> you usually have, mika, north florida against south florida and central florida being what makes a difference. the south florida poll out of miami-dade shows the president -- >> largest county in the state, 52%-43%. >> that's not a surprise. i will tell you, this next poll, though, is a surprise. >> all right. let's go to virginia. the latest "w
voted already. the polls are showing that obama is leading the early boat much like he did in 2008. that is an aberration from our part -- previous count. from previous elections before the 2008, typically, republicans won the early voting. we have had such a high volume now and the obama campaign is encouraging their supporters to vote early. we have seen a change in behavior when campaigns can take advantage of early voting to encourage their supporters and mobilize them over a longer period of time. that is was going on on the democrat side. if you look at the numbers, there are more republicans voting early ban in 2008. the romney campaign is not conceding the early vote as the mccain campaign did in 2008. we are seeing greater interest among republicans and we see level increases of democrats and republicans compared to 2008 in early voting. up to this point, when we look at the statistics, most of the people who have voted early so far were people who are very strong partisans and have registered with their local party. in ohio, we have data where we know that people have vot
with the picture voters, and they're still backing president obama. if you look at the polls, on average, the president is winning. he has maintained a small but steady lead. i think this year you will see a number similar to what we had in 2004 and not so much in 2008. that was a different year. a lot of people were so upset with george bush. the president will pull out and win next tuesday. i think the numbers will be closer to what they were in 2004. host: what is your handicap for the governor's race and the two contested congressional races in the state? guest: in the governor's race, the democratic canada has maintained a small but said to lead in the polls. she has been out there campaigning and really doing a good job getting the message out. the republican, a very well- known figure in the state. this is the fourth time he is run for major office. he has not been successful in the past, despite the fact that he had much greater name recognition. he just has not been able to catch her in the polls. the polls go back and forth on each of those. it is a rematch of the congressional
to overcome this fire wall that seems to be pretty firm in president obama's favor? >> yes, if the polls are wrong. most of these polls are likely voter models. the polls are making the assumption with the turnout, what the shape of the electorate is going to be on election day. if that model is wrong, you have a major problem. you could have more republicans turning out and fewer democrats turning out. if the demographics are wrong, the same thing. this has been a very difficult -- i'm going to be honest, a very difficult election for me to get a handle on because you see this continuing schism between the national polls which show a tied race or a small, narrow romney lead in the key battlegrounds where you can show president obama ahead. it really comes down to a very simple fact. if democrats turn out, you know, at the percentages these voter models are assuming, president obama will win this election. if they don't, it's going to be a tough night. >> i want to show everybody this. chuck todd asked the obama campaign about the president's midwest fire wall this morning on "the daily
: in the average of polls and the state of new hampshire, president obama has a slight edge, 48.8 to 46.8. you can see the specific polls that have been taken giving obama an edge in some and romney a edge in others. neill in ohio, independent caller. caller: i will not say my last name, but i will say that i already voted, i am truly independent. i must say, i found it disgusting that mid romney would stay in ohio to collect canned goods if he truly believes we should be reliant on private enterprise if there is a disaster. why doesn't he does take millions of dollars out of his own pocket and buy canned goods and send them in and continue on his way? instead, he sends coleman to ohio to talk about what he says on abortion, which is untrue. at the same point in time, he is changing his game and changing every view. we know he bashed fema. the president is doing his job. he is not doing anything but his job. host: the front page of the "boston globe" shows the impact of the storm, millions reeling. the "hartford courant" has this headline. go ahead, neil levesque. guest: it affected new hampshire
. you talk to the obama campaign, they'll point to that marquette poll and they'll say it's more accurate. it seems likie internal polls ae in between the two. the bottom line, while he has a lead that is significant, you have to pay attention to it, it's not quite comfortable. that's why you're seeing president obama here today. we saw joe biden here last week. but paul ryan was here yesterday. mitt romney will be here tomorrow. bill clinton last night and this morning. there is a lot of surrogate traffic and part of that is because early voting is under way right now and goes on through tomorrow. and both sides are really trying to energize people and get them out to the polls during this week. >> brianna, i'm looking behind you. just quickly peek over the back of your shoulder to your left, air force one just came right into a perfect view for us. thank you very much. but i want to ask you, this was a campaign stop in green bay that was really supposed to happen tuesday, which the president cancelled because of the storm and emergency work that he needed to do. so what did the
the nation's finances has proved more difficult. republicans criticize obama for the mounting national debt, and they say the unemployment rate, 7.8%, is unacceptably high. >> the latest poll suggests the candidates are running close, but they were taken before the storm hit shore. earlier gene otani spoke about obama's successes and his failures. >> the president is not the first president obviously to promise change, but he certainly made that word stick. how do voters think he's done? >> obama did change a number of things and not the least of which is of course health care reform. presidents on both sides of the aisle tried before him and failed. and he ended the war in iraq and he passed the stimulus among a number of other financial initiatives. somexper say hwas peap too ambitious. >> coming in he said the administration was to really change the course of foreign policy and economic policy that the bush administration had been following. and he was elected on that mandate. but it was again difficult for him to achieve that change. apparently because the problem is so huge that they c
obama for the mounting national debt and they say the unemployment rate, 7.8%, is unacceptably high. >> the latest poll suggests the candidates are running close, but they were taken before the storm hit shore. earlier i spoke with nhk world's nishikawa on obama's successes and his failures. mishiko the president is not the first president, obviously, to promise change. but he certainly made that word stick. how do voters think he has done? >> right. well, obama did change a number of things, and not the least of which is, of course, health care reform. presidents on both sides of the aisle have tried before him and failed and he ended the war in iraq and he passed the stimulus among a number of other financial initiatives. some experts say he was perhaps too ambitious. >> coming in to his administration was to really change the course of foreign policy and economic policy that the administration had been following, and he was elected on that mandate. but it was again, difficult for him to achieve that -- that change. partly because the problem is so huge that you can't really chang
, the finish line is 11 days away and in the crucial battle for ohio, look at this new cnn poll released today. president obama a four point advantage over governor romney. in the fight for women voters, obama has a commanding lead in ohio but a lot can change of course between now and november 6th. the surprise is what john sununu told me last night is not going to go away. it could become a big problem for romney. sununu, a key romney surrogate, has put race and frankly, charges of racism front and center in the final days of the campaign when romney would have least wanted him to. let's get right to it. i asked him last night about former secretary of state colin powell's endorsement of president obama. this is what sununu said and why it's creating a political firestorm. final question. colin powell has decided to opt for president obama again despite apparently still being a republican. is it time he left the party, do you think? >> well, i'm not sure how important that is. i do like the fact that colin powell's boss, george herbert walker bush, has endorsed mitt romney all along, and fra
to the polling station and pulled back the curtain. i voted for barack obama. >> a new lena dunham ad for president obama. ann coulter is back. i'm sure you loved that, didn't you? >> yes, it's going to be my exhibit henceforth for both of the groups i want to take the vote away from. young people and women. all in one combo platter. >> you would take away the female vote, would you? >> yes. i have become quite famous for making that point. >> what is the point? >> that it was a rash experiment and we should reconsider the 19th amendment. >> you called me in break a sexist mysogenist pig. >> yes. >> can you explain why? what have i said that's been remotely sexist. >> calm down. oh, it is the conservative -- >> you were hyperventilating. >> i'm not hyperventilating. i'm disagreeing with you which apparently is insulting your teeny tiny male ego. it is the most insulting condescending sexist thing to say to a female, generally conservative, who disagrees with you, no, it's my obligation to back down and accept your point and if i don't, you're not being calm. >> i never heard you back
. on wednesday a new cbs poll showed obama leading romney by five points in the buckeye state. in response, romney officials began to suggest maybe it was really all about pennsylvania. nobody took them seriously. mitt is bringing half the republican party to ohio on friday to kick off the new romney/ryan real recovery road rally. everybody's coming. and the sons, paul ryan, paul ryan's wife who we have yet to actually meet, rudy giuliani, a couple olympic medalists, every elected official except he who must not be named in new jersey. sudden plans for a road trip are usually the sign of a pressing need to escape reality. >> is meatloaf going to be there? >> as long as he brings those pipes. >> all right. they should bring chris. this chris christie thing, is it really a big problem for mitt romney? why can't he now campaign with chris christie and be proud of it? >> it is a brig problem. >> i don't get it. that's a problem. that's the problem. >> literally, you have that image of them going like this. >> so what? they need to get over it. >>> up next, the tale of two cities. a line of dem
voters president obama could capture? >> i do not want to talk about internal polling, but let me say this, based on what i am seeing, i am very confident the president will have a good night here in new -- here on tuesday. we are working hard to make sure we have every obama supporter out there and out there to vote so we do have a victory. i think it will be closer, closer to the 2004 election when senator kerrey won. i do think president obama will pull it off, because he has such an excellent ground game, and because of these big city issu that are born to the people of new hampshire. we talk about real depth is a reduction, the spefics of his plan, unlike mitt romney to has yet to answer how he will pay for his plan. the people understand you want someone willing to talk about specifics, someone who has a record of cutting taxes for working-class and middle-class people. someone who has a record for cutting taxes for small businesses. the president has signed 18 tax cuts into law for small business people. i think the people of n hampshire, when they look at the president's recor
they realize how crucial that vote was. >> at the polls show that president obama one hispanic vote in colorado, two-thirds of the hispanic vote. it is a big part of the campaign for this election one week away. what about the impact of gary johnson on the ballot in colorado? >> he was our governor to the south and he is someone who is enthusiastic about some of his issues. and where he dovetails with colorado is the issue on the ballot to legalize marijuana. he was for the decriminalization and the legalization of marijuana. i think you'll have some fringe -- on the french voters not only libertarians but unaffiliated voters. he does not have a message to -- money to get his message out. he is a semi-known quantity although shelf life is starting to expire. out of boulder county which is the key base for the democrats, you have a great party candidate. that will appeal a little bit but gary johnson will, in a distant third in colorado. >> here is our first caller: . caller: i want to know why the senate is not being held responsible. he can only do so much. notnt to know why they're be held ac
in iowa? guest: that's a really big deal in iowa. barack obama, if you look at the polling data, he has built a pretty significant lead among women voters. these are issues women care a lot about. barack obama is directly addressing them, directly saying, if you want your rights as a woman to plan your own life, your rights as a woman, to table to assert yourself, you better vote for me, because mitt romney will rein in those rights. that issue resonates very strongly around iowa. women voters can make a difference in this election. if you look at polling, the polling among male voters is pretty even. among women voters, barack obama has a pretty strong lead. this election in iowa and in many other states, i think, is going to be a turn out game -- who can get their voters to the polls on election day. barack obama, to say, i have a lead with women voters, so let's make sure we get them out on election day and let's give them a reason to show up. this is what he thinks is the reason women will show up and vote for employer. host: a story in the quad city times -- iowa is the focus of ou
. in one way president obama's been -- has been able to, you know, kind of stop whatever poll momentum romney seemed to be getting or at least we were all talking about 50 different polls from ohio. you don't hear about them anymore. since president obama had a lead in most of these swing states, i think political analysts would say it is probably -- doesn't hurt president obama any. on the other side of the net mitt romney has been able to unpack in ohio for a few days, shake a few more hands kiss a few more babies, give a few more press conferences and speeches there. we'll see how it plays out in election night. right now i don't think it's had the impact on this election. it is just -- and votingwise. at least there's no evidence of it yet. we'll see, you know, the stock market opens tomorrow. how will the markets respond to this? you know, you can have a -- the economy rebounding and the president with good p.r., could be a dismal stock market going down and people get jittery and think they want change. but i could
out to effect the get out the vote operations for both campaigns. the obama campaign is relying on their ground operation, on getting presidential year voters out to the polls. if power is out across the eastern seaboard states, people might be more concerned with food and power and energy, perhaps, rather than getting to the polls. that could be a problem. >> we're all watching. thanks so much. we appreciate that from washington. >> so folks are indeed getting ready for the worst all up and down the eastern seaboard. for hurricane sandy, we'll get an update on its track next. [ male announcer ] citi turns 200 this year. in that time there've been some good days. and some difficult ones. but, through it all, we've persevered, supporting some of the biggest ideas in modern history. so why should our anniversary matter to you? because for 200 years, we've been helping ideas move from ambition to achievement. and the next great idea could be yours. ♪ i'm watching natalie's ballet recital and i'm pulling photos right from the video. great idea, we can pick one and frame it! here,
Search Results 0 to 49 of about 66 (some duplicates have been removed)